Illinois State Redbirds 71, Valparaiso Beacons 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Valparaiso Beacons
Valparaiso Beacons defeated Illinois State Redbirds 77–71 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 7:34 swung win probability 65% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Illinois State Redbirds lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 23 | 48 | 71 |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 35 | 42 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 7:34 swung win probability 65% → 90%.
Why Illinois State Redbirds lost
- Lost H1 23-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 7:34 (win probability 65% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 46.0% eFG vs a 54.1% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 26-14 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 8–0 | H1 7:34 | 65% → 90% |