Evansville Purple Aces 47, Illinois State Redbirds 73
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Illinois State Redbirds
Illinois State Redbirds defeated Evansville Purple Aces 73–47 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Men's play, a 26-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 7:11 swung win probability 40% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Evansville Purple Aces lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evansville Purple Aces | 28 | 19 | 47 |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 46 | 27 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 7:11 swung win probability 40% → 85%.
Why Evansville Purple Aces lost
- Lost H1 28-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at H2 7:26 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 37.3% eFG vs a 49.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 23-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 12–0 | H1 7:11 | 40% → 85% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 8–0 | H1 4:39 | 72% → 94% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 8–0 | H1 2:11 | 88% → 99% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 15–0 | H2 7:26 | 100% → 100% |
| Evansville Purple Aces | 8–0 | H2 1:14 | 100% → 100% |