Belmont Bruins 87, Murray State Racers 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-15 · Winner: Belmont Bruins
Belmont Bruins defeated Murray State Racers 87–70 on 2026-02-15 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 13:05 swung win probability 92% → 57%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Murray State Racers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 24 | 63 | 87 |
| Murray State Racers | 39 | 31 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 13:05 swung win probability 92% → 57%.
Why Murray State Racers lost
- Lost H2 31-63 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H2 15:24 (win probability 100% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 47.5% eFG vs a 53.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murray State Racers | 10–0 | H1 13:33 | 51% → 84% |
| Murray State Racers | 9–0 | H1 11:34 | 76% → 95% |
| Murray State Racers | 9–0 | H2 18:44 | 91% → 100% |
| Belmont Bruins | 13–0 | H2 15:24 | 100% → 86% |
| Belmont Bruins | 8–0 | H2 13:05 | 92% → 57% |
| Belmont Bruins | 9–0 | H2 4:47 | 28% → 0% |
| Belmont Bruins | 8–0 | H2 0:41 | 0% → 0% |