Belmont Bruins 84, Bradley Braves 95
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-09 · Winner: Bradley Braves
Bradley Braves defeated Belmont Bruins 95–84 on 2026-02-09 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at OT 0:16 swung win probability 41% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Belmont Bruins lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 33 | 47 | 4 | 84 |
| Bradley Braves | 31 | 49 | 15 | 95 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at OT 0:16 swung win probability 41% → 100%.
Why Belmont Bruins lost
- Lost OT 4-15 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at OT 0:16 (win probability 41% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 52.4% eFG vs a 60.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-8.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Braves | 9–0 | H1 11:12 | 59% → 86% |
| Belmont Bruins | 12–0 | H1 1:02 | 87% → 42% |
| Bradley Braves | 9–0 | H2 15:24 | 41% → 81% |
| Bradley Braves | 12–0 | OT 0:16 | 41% → 100% |