Murray State Racers 86, Belmont Bruins 103
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Belmont Bruins
Belmont Bruins defeated Murray State Racers 103–86 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 20-0 home team run ending at H1 12:26 swung win probability 55% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Murray State Racers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murray State Racers | 40 | 46 | 86 |
| Belmont Bruins | 54 | 49 | 103 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 20-0 home team run ending at H1 12:26 swung win probability 55% → 98%.
Why Murray State Racers lost
- Lost H1 40-54 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 20-0 run ending at H1 12:26 (win probability 55% → 98% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 20–0 | H1 12:26 | 55% → 98% |
| Belmont Bruins | 14–0 | H2 15:20 | 97% → 100% |
| Murray State Racers | 12–0 | H2 4:03 | 100% → 100% |