Illinois State Redbirds 69, Belmont Bruins 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: Belmont Bruins
Belmont Bruins defeated Illinois State Redbirds 80–69 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 8:01 swung win probability 44% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Illinois State Redbirds lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 36 | 33 | 69 |
| Belmont Bruins | 44 | 36 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 8:01 swung win probability 44% → 96%.
Why Illinois State Redbirds lost
- Lost H1 36-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 16:45 (win probability 55% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 44.8% eFG vs a 54.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 10–0 | H1 16:45 | 55% → 86% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 10–0 | H2 17:16 | 94% → 64% |
| Belmont Bruins | 10–0 | H2 8:01 | 44% → 96% |
| Belmont Bruins | 9–0 | H2 3:02 | 90% → 100% |