Belmont Bruins 78, Drake Bulldogs 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Belmont Bruins
Belmont Bruins defeated Drake Bulldogs 78–76 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 8:55 swung win probability 98% → 63%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Drake Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 25 | 53 | 78 |
| Drake Bulldogs | 44 | 32 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 8:55 swung win probability 98% → 63%.
Why Drake Bulldogs lost
- Lost H2 32-53 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H2 12:32 (win probability 100% → 95% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-9 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-8.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Bulldogs | 9–0 | H1 15:41 | 72% → 93% |
| Drake Bulldogs | 12–0 | H1 4:17 | 87% → 100% |
| Drake Bulldogs | 11–0 | H2 19:08 | 98% → 100% |
| Belmont Bruins | 8–0 | H2 15:37 | 100% → 100% |
| Belmont Bruins | 13–0 | H2 12:32 | 100% → 95% |
| Belmont Bruins | 11–0 | H2 8:55 | 98% → 63% |