Belmont Bruins 78, Northern Iowa Panthers 65
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Belmont Bruins
Belmont Bruins defeated Northern Iowa Panthers 78–65 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 9:02 swung win probability 35% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Iowa Panthers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 32 | 33 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 9:02 swung win probability 35% → 2%.
Why Northern Iowa Panthers lost
- Lost H2 33-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 13:23 (win probability 62% → 30% for the home side).
- Shot 49.2% eFG vs a 54.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 8–0 | H1 13:23 | 62% → 30% |
| Belmont Bruins | 8–0 | H1 9:07 | 37% → 11% |
| Belmont Bruins | 8–0 | H2 9:02 | 35% → 2% |