Lafayette Leopards 70, Colgate Raiders 69
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-25 · Winner: Lafayette Leopards
Lafayette Leopards defeated Colgate Raiders 70–69 on 2026-02-25 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 8:57 swung win probability 89% → 25%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Colgate Raiders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette Leopards | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| Colgate Raiders | 25 | 44 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 8:57 swung win probability 89% → 25%.
Why Colgate Raiders lost
- Lost H1 25-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 8:57 (win probability 89% → 25% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate Raiders | 8–0 | H1 3:54 | 16% → 45% |
| Colgate Raiders | 10–0 | H2 16:05 | 23% → 74% |
| Lafayette Leopards | 10–0 | H2 8:57 | 89% → 25% |