Utah State Aggies 65, UNLV Rebels 92
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: UNLV Rebels
UNLV Rebels defeated Utah State Aggies 92–65 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 27-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 5:52 swung win probability 61% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Utah State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 24 | 41 | 65 |
| UNLV Rebels | 32 | 60 | 92 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 5:52 swung win probability 61% → 90%.
Why Utah State Aggies lost
- Lost H2 41-60 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 5:55 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 41.8% eFG vs a 56.9% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Rebels | 9–0 | H1 5:52 | 61% → 90% |
| UNLV Rebels | 10–0 | H2 5:55 | 100% → 100% |
| UNLV Rebels | 8–0 | H2 0:28 | 100% → 100% |