Gonzaga Bulldogs 59, Saint Mary's Gaels 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels defeated Gonzaga Bulldogs 70–59 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 18:13 swung win probability 15% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Gonzaga Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 36 | 23 | 59 |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 29 | 41 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 18:13 swung win probability 15% → 64%.
Why Gonzaga Bulldogs lost
- Lost H2 23-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 18:13 (win probability 15% → 64% for the home side).
- Shot 43.8% eFG vs a 55.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 11-6.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 8–0 | H1 10:24 | 57% → 25% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 11–0 | H2 18:13 | 15% → 64% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 10–0 | H2 8:51 | 56% → 99% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 11–0 | H2 3:10 | 95% → 100% |