Saint Mary's Gaels 65, Gonzaga Bulldogs 73
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Gonzaga Bulldogs
Gonzaga Bulldogs defeated Saint Mary's Gaels 73–65 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 10:12 swung win probability 57% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Mary's Gaels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 38 | 27 | 65 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 34 | 39 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 10:12 swung win probability 57% → 95%.
Why Saint Mary's Gaels lost
- Lost H2 27-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 16:54 (win probability 55% → 83% for the home side).
- Shot 39.6% eFG vs a 53.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 9–0 | H1 16:54 | 55% → 83% |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 8–0 | H1 12:02 | 69% → 90% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 9–0 | H1 6:08 | 91% → 64% |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 8–0 | H2 10:12 | 57% → 95% |