Saint Mary's Gaels 54, Santa Clara Broncos 62
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Santa Clara Broncos
Santa Clara Broncos defeated Saint Mary's Gaels 62–54 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 10:54 swung win probability 65% → 89%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Mary's Gaels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 25 | 29 | 54 |
| Santa Clara Broncos | 32 | 30 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 10:54 swung win probability 65% → 89%.
Why Saint Mary's Gaels lost
- Lost H1 25-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 10:54 (win probability 65% → 89% for the home side).
- Shot 34.5% eFG vs a 53.1% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara Broncos | 8–0 | H1 10:54 | 65% → 89% |
| Santa Clara Broncos | 8–0 | H2 13:59 | 87% → 99% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 12–0 | H2 8:46 | 100% → 83% |