San Diego Toreros 70, Pacific Tigers 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Pacific Tigers
Pacific Tigers defeated San Diego Toreros 77–70 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 2:47 swung win probability 5% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San Diego Toreros lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Toreros | 34 | 36 | 70 |
| Pacific Tigers | 24 | 53 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 2:47 swung win probability 5% → 87%.
Why San Diego Toreros lost
- Lost H2 36-53 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 15:09 (win probability 2% → 20% for the home side).
- Shot 47.5% eFG vs a 52.1% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 23-14 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Toreros | 10–0 | H1 11:45 | 72% → 33% |
| San Diego Toreros | 8–0 | H1 7:08 | 52% → 20% |
| Pacific Tigers | 10–0 | H2 15:09 | 2% → 20% |
| Pacific Tigers | 8–0 | H2 5:32 | 1% → 13% |
| Pacific Tigers | 10–0 | H2 2:47 | 5% → 87% |