Portland Pilots 57, Saint Mary's Gaels 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-02 · Winner: Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels defeated Portland Pilots 78–57 on 2026-01-02 in NCAA Men's play, a 21-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 16:02 swung win probability 55% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Portland Pilots lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Pilots | 27 | 30 | 57 |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 42 | 36 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 16:02 swung win probability 55% → 84%.
Why Portland Pilots lost
- Lost H1 27-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 18:42 (win probability 90% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 36.1% eFG vs a 51.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 9–0 | H1 16:02 | 55% → 84% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 12–0 | H2 18:42 | 90% → 100% |