Saint Mary's Gaels 72, Pepperdine Waves 45
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels defeated Pepperdine Waves 72–45 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 27-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 11:28 swung win probability 13% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Pepperdine Waves lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 34 | 38 | 72 |
| Pepperdine Waves | 25 | 20 | 45 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 11:28 swung win probability 13% → 0%.
Why Pepperdine Waves lost
- Lost H2 20-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 11:28 (win probability 13% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 38.2% eFG vs a 48.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 9–0 | H2 11:28 | 13% → 0% |