Fresno State Bulldogs 59, Nevada Wolf Pack 69
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 69–59 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at H2 7:02 swung win probability 25% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 28 | 31 | 59 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 28 | 41 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at H2 7:02 swung win probability 25% → 97%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Lost H2 31-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H2 7:02 (win probability 25% → 97% for the home side).
- Shot 44.3% eFG vs a 51.0% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-5.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 13–0 | H2 7:02 | 25% → 97% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 8–0 | H2 1:08 | 86% → 100% |