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UNLV Rebels 96, Fresno State Bulldogs 98

NCAA Men's · 2026-02-03 · Winner: Fresno State Bulldogs

Fresno State Bulldogs defeated UNLV Rebels 98–96 on 2026-02-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 7:42 swung win probability 44% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNLV Rebels lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
UNLV Rebels504696
Fresno State Bulldogs494998

Win probability

Fresno State Bulldogs win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Fresno State Bulldogs) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 7:42 swung win probability 44% → 87%.
Why UNLV Rebels lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
UNLV Rebels8–0H1 16:1366% → 36%
Fresno State Bulldogs9–0H1 10:4527% → 61%
Fresno State Bulldogs12–0H1 7:4244% → 87%

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