Fresno State Bulldogs 74, New Mexico Lobos 83
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 83–74 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 10:51 swung win probability 58% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 23 | 51 | 74 |
| New Mexico Lobos | 36 | 47 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 10:51 swung win probability 58% → 95%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Lost H1 23-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H1 10:51 (win probability 58% → 95% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 22-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 14–0 | H1 10:51 | 58% → 95% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 8–0 | H2 14:15 | 91% → 100% |