Fresno State Bulldogs 72, UNLV Rebels 84
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: UNLV Rebels
UNLV Rebels defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 84–72 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 10:53 swung win probability 90% → 29%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 41 | 31 | 72 |
| UNLV Rebels | 39 | 45 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 10:53 swung win probability 90% → 29%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Lost H2 31-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 13:08 (win probability 72% → 93% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-10 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Rebels | 9–0 | H1 13:08 | 72% → 93% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 14–0 | H1 5:37 | 97% → 64% |
| UNLV Rebels | 8–0 | H2 16:55 | 38% → 78% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 11–0 | H2 10:53 | 90% → 29% |
| UNLV Rebels | 9–0 | H2 0:36 | 98% → 100% |