Colgate Raiders 66, American University Eagles 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: American University Eagles
American University Eagles defeated Colgate Raiders 70–66 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 7:47 swung win probability 49% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Colgate Raiders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate Raiders | 34 | 32 | 66 |
| American University Eagles | 31 | 39 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 7:47 swung win probability 49% → 95%.
Why Colgate Raiders lost
- Lost H2 32-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 7:47 (win probability 49% → 95% for the home side).
- Shot 49.0% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate Raiders | 9–0 | H1 13:02 | 75% → 42% |
| American University Eagles | 8–0 | H2 7:47 | 49% → 95% |