American University Eagles 62, Colgate Raiders 64
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Colgate Raiders
Colgate Raiders defeated American University Eagles 64–62 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:03 swung win probability 2% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why American University Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| American University Eagles | 35 | 27 | 62 |
| Colgate Raiders | 24 | 40 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 0:03 swung win probability 2% → 100%.
Why American University Eagles lost
- Lost H2 27-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 0:03 (win probability 2% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 14-3 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| American University Eagles | 10–0 | H1 6:50 | 65% → 23% |
| American University Eagles | 8–0 | H1 2:19 | 46% → 14% |
| Colgate Raiders | 9–0 | H2 0:03 | 2% → 100% |