Dayton Flyers 65, Richmond Spiders 60
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: Dayton Flyers
Dayton Flyers defeated Richmond Spiders 65–60 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 5:53 swung win probability 9% → 55%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Richmond Spiders lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 40 | 25 | 65 |
| Richmond Spiders | 32 | 28 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 5:53 swung win probability 9% → 55%.
Why Richmond Spiders lost
- Lost H1 32-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 15:50 (win probability 59% → 25% for the home side).
- Shot 41.7% eFG vs a 52.5% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 9–0 | H1 15:50 | 59% → 25% |
| Richmond Spiders | 8–0 | H2 5:53 | 9% → 55% |