Fordham Rams 63, VCU Rams 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: VCU Rams
VCU Rams defeated Fordham Rams 82–63 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 19-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 10:29 swung win probability 65% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fordham Rams lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fordham Rams | 22 | 41 | 63 |
| VCU Rams | 37 | 45 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 10:29 swung win probability 65% → 95%.
Why Fordham Rams lost
- Lost H1 22-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 10:29 (win probability 65% → 95% for the home side).
- Shot 39.3% eFG vs a 49.6% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams | 12–0 | H1 10:29 | 65% → 95% |
| Fordham Rams | 13–0 | H2 17:09 | 99% → 78% |
| VCU Rams | 8–0 | H2 11:10 | 75% → 99% |
| VCU Rams | 9–0 | H2 6:12 | 98% → 100% |