Saint Louis Billikens 62, Dayton Flyers 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-24 · Winner: Dayton Flyers
Dayton Flyers defeated Saint Louis Billikens 77–62 on 2026-02-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 15-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 12:47 swung win probability 58% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Louis Billikens lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis Billikens | 28 | 34 | 62 |
| Dayton Flyers | 44 | 33 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 12:47 swung win probability 58% → 88%.
Why Saint Louis Billikens lost
- Lost H1 28-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 12:47 (win probability 58% → 88% for the home side).
- Shot 44.5% eFG vs a 59.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 15-10.
- Outscored 21-13 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 10–0 | H1 12:47 | 58% → 88% |
| Dayton Flyers | 9–0 | H1 6:39 | 95% → 100% |
| Saint Louis Billikens | 9–0 | H1 1:43 | 100% → 99% |
| Dayton Flyers | 8–0 | H2 0:14 | 100% → 100% |