Davidson Wildcats 59, Dayton Flyers 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-15 · Winner: Dayton Flyers
Dayton Flyers defeated Davidson Wildcats 70–59 on 2026-02-15 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 2:14 swung win probability 68% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Davidson Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Davidson Wildcats | 26 | 33 | 59 |
| Dayton Flyers | 34 | 36 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 2:14 swung win probability 68% → 94%.
Why Davidson Wildcats lost
- Lost H1 26-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 2:14 (win probability 68% → 94% for the home side).
- Outscored 21-7 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-5.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 9–0 | H1 2:14 | 68% → 94% |