Dayton Flyers 73, VCU Rams 99
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-06 · Winner: VCU Rams
VCU Rams defeated Dayton Flyers 99–73 on 2026-02-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 26-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 4:57 swung win probability 76% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dayton Flyers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 27 | 46 | 73 |
| VCU Rams | 50 | 49 | 99 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 4:57 swung win probability 76% → 98%.
Why Dayton Flyers lost
- Lost H1 27-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 4:57 (win probability 76% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 42.3% eFG vs a 51.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 16-12.
- Outscored 31-18 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams | 12–0 | H1 4:57 | 76% → 98% |
| VCU Rams | 11–0 | H2 19:17 | 99% → 100% |
| VCU Rams | 10–0 | H2 12:14 | 100% → 100% |