St. Bonaventure Bonnies 70, Dayton Flyers 72
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-03 · Winner: Dayton Flyers
Dayton Flyers defeated St. Bonaventure Bonnies 72–70 on 2026-02-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 14-0 road team run ending at H2 12:41 swung win probability 98% → 51%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. Bonaventure Bonnies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 30 | 40 | 70 |
| Dayton Flyers | 41 | 31 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 road team run ending at H2 12:41 swung win probability 98% → 51%.
Why St. Bonaventure Bonnies lost
- Lost H1 30-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 5:06 (win probability 60% → 88% for the home side).
- Outscored 28-14 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 8–0 | H1 5:06 | 60% → 88% |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 14–0 | H2 12:41 | 98% → 51% |