Dayton Flyers 71, Saint Louis Billikens 102
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-30 · Winner: Saint Louis Billikens
Saint Louis Billikens defeated Dayton Flyers 102–71 on 2026-01-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 31-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 12:57 swung win probability 95% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dayton Flyers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 29 | 42 | 71 |
| Saint Louis Billikens | 46 | 56 | 102 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 12:57 swung win probability 95% → 100%.
Why Dayton Flyers lost
- Lost H1 29-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 12:57 (win probability 95% → 100% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis Billikens | 10–0 | H1 4:04 | 96% → 100% |
| Dayton Flyers | 8–0 | H2 16:22 | 100% → 95% |
| Saint Louis Billikens | 12–0 | H2 12:57 | 95% → 100% |
| Saint Louis Billikens | 10–0 | H2 2:45 | 100% → 100% |