St. Bonaventure Bonnies 82, VCU Rams 89
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: VCU Rams
VCU Rams defeated St. Bonaventure Bonnies 89–82 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 2:39 swung win probability 11% → 79%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. Bonaventure Bonnies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 45 | 37 | 82 |
| VCU Rams | 46 | 43 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 2:39 swung win probability 11% → 79%.
Why St. Bonaventure Bonnies lost
- Lost H2 37-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 0:16 (win probability 53% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 26-14 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams | 9–0 | H1 15:07 | 36% → 69% |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 8–0 | H1 11:21 | 69% → 37% |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 8–0 | H1 1:16 | 90% → 64% |
| VCU Rams | 8–0 | H2 2:39 | 11% → 79% |
| VCU Rams | 10–0 | H2 0:16 | 53% → 100% |