Fordham Rams 56, Dayton Flyers 63
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Dayton Flyers
Dayton Flyers defeated Fordham Rams 63–56 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 12:40 swung win probability 98% → 80%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fordham Rams lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fordham Rams | 24 | 32 | 56 |
| Dayton Flyers | 30 | 33 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 12:40 swung win probability 98% → 80%.
Why Fordham Rams lost
- Lost H1 24-30 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Shot 42.5% eFG vs a 49.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 15-8.
- Outscored 13-5 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fordham Rams | 9–0 | H2 12:40 | 98% → 80% |