Duquesne Dukes 89, Davidson Wildcats 83
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: Duquesne Dukes
Duquesne Dukes defeated Davidson Wildcats 89–83 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at OT2 1:28 swung win probability 93% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Davidson Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | OT2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne Dukes | 30 | 39 | 6 | 14 | 89 |
| Davidson Wildcats | 33 | 36 | 6 | 8 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at OT2 1:28 swung win probability 93% → 1%.
Why Davidson Wildcats lost
- Lost OT 8-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at OT2 1:28 (win probability 93% → 1% for the home side).
- Shot 46.7% eFG vs a 53.5% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne Dukes | 9–0 | OT 3:34 | 76% → 15% |
| Davidson Wildcats | 11–0 | OT2 4:13 | 15% → 93% |
| Duquesne Dukes | 10–0 | OT2 1:28 | 93% → 1% |