East Carolina Pirates 82, UTSA Roadrunners 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-25 · Winner: East Carolina Pirates
East Carolina Pirates defeated UTSA Roadrunners 82–81 on 2026-02-25 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 17:00 swung win probability 95% → 58%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UTSA Roadrunners lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates | 34 | 48 | 82 |
| UTSA Roadrunners | 43 | 38 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at H2 17:00 swung win probability 95% → 58%.
Why UTSA Roadrunners lost
- Lost H2 38-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 17:00 (win probability 95% → 58% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-13.
- Outscored 19-9 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-8.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates | 8–0 | H1 18:06 | 72% → 44% |
| UTSA Roadrunners | 8–0 | H1 7:25 | 48% → 79% |
| East Carolina Pirates | 11–0 | H2 17:00 | 95% → 58% |