East Carolina Pirates 76, Florida Atlantic Owls 75
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-01 · Winner: East Carolina Pirates
East Carolina Pirates defeated Florida Atlantic Owls 76–75 on 2026-02-01 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 5:22 swung win probability 71% → 8%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida Atlantic Owls lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates | 38 | 38 | 76 |
| Florida Atlantic Owls | 36 | 39 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 5:22 swung win probability 71% → 8%.
Why Florida Atlantic Owls lost
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H1 6:12 (win probability 94% → 51% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-10.
- Outscored 16-8 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic Owls | 8–0 | H1 9:20 | 75% → 94% |
| East Carolina Pirates | 14–0 | H1 6:12 | 94% → 51% |
| East Carolina Pirates | 8–0 | H2 5:22 | 71% → 8% |