Memphis Tigers 76, Rice Owls 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Memphis Tigers
Memphis Tigers defeated Rice Owls 76–70 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 16:53 swung win probability 87% → 47%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Rice Owls lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers | 31 | 45 | 76 |
| Rice Owls | 32 | 38 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 16:53 swung win probability 87% → 47%.
Why Rice Owls lost
- Lost H2 38-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 16:53 (win probability 87% → 47% for the home side).
- Shot 45.2% eFG vs a 49.6% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rice Owls | 8–0 | H1 7:56 | 79% → 95% |
| Memphis Tigers | 9–0 | H2 16:53 | 87% → 47% |