UNLV Rebels 86, Utah State Aggies 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-20 · Winner: UNLV Rebels
UNLV Rebels defeated Utah State Aggies 86–76 on 2026-01-20 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 16:00 swung win probability 48% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Utah State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Rebels | 38 | 48 | 86 |
| Utah State Aggies | 38 | 38 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 16:00 swung win probability 48% → 91%.
Why Utah State Aggies lost
- Lost H2 38-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 12:48 (win probability 86% → 61% for the home side).
- Shot 50.9% eFG vs a 56.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Rebels | 8–0 | H1 12:48 | 86% → 61% |
| Utah State Aggies | 10–0 | H2 16:00 | 48% → 91% |
| Utah State Aggies | 9–0 | H2 12:44 | 83% → 99% |