Arizona State Sun Devils 65, Iowa State Cyclones 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Iowa State Cyclones
Iowa State Cyclones defeated Arizona State Sun Devils 86–65 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 21-point result. A 24-0 home team run ending at H2 8:38 swung win probability 35% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arizona State Sun Devils lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 41 | 24 | 65 |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 37 | 49 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 24-0 home team run ending at H2 8:38 swung win probability 35% → 100%.
Why Arizona State Sun Devils lost
- Lost H2 24-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 24-0 run ending at H2 8:38 (win probability 35% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-9.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 10–0 | H1 0:09 | 84% → 38% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 24–0 | H2 8:38 | 35% → 100% |