TCU Horned Frogs 77, Kansas State Wildcats 68
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated Kansas State Wildcats 77–68 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 2:06 swung win probability 33% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Kansas State Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 41 | 36 | 77 |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 38 | 30 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 2:06 swung win probability 33% → 0%.
Why Kansas State Wildcats lost
- Lost H2 30-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 2:06 (win probability 33% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 18-8.
- Outscored 16-4 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-5.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 9–0 | H2 2:06 | 33% → 0% |