Baylor Bears 87, UCF Knights 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears defeated UCF Knights 87–86 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 3:46 swung win probability 1% → 31%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UCF Knights lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 56 | 31 | 87 |
| UCF Knights | 42 | 44 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 3:46 swung win probability 1% → 31%.
Why UCF Knights lost
- Lost H1 42-56 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF Knights | 10–0 | H2 16:28 | 6% → 36% |
| UCF Knights | 9–0 | H2 3:46 | 1% → 31% |