Arizona State Sun Devils 78, TCU Horned Frogs 90
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-24 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated Arizona State Sun Devils 90–78 on 2026-02-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 11:39 swung win probability 74% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arizona State Sun Devils lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 30 | 48 | 78 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 33 | 57 | 90 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 11:39 swung win probability 74% → 99%.
Why Arizona State Sun Devils lost
- Lost H2 48-57 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 11:39 (win probability 74% → 99% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-7.
- Outscored 28-17 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 9–0 | H2 11:39 | 74% → 99% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 9–0 | H2 8:42 | 96% → 100% |