TCU Horned Frogs 71, UCF Knights 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-17 · Winner: UCF Knights
UCF Knights defeated TCU Horned Frogs 82–71 on 2026-02-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 8:43 swung win probability 76% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why TCU Horned Frogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 28 | 43 | 71 |
| UCF Knights | 42 | 40 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 8:43 swung win probability 76% → 94%.
Why TCU Horned Frogs lost
- Lost H1 28-42 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 8:43 (win probability 76% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 45.0% eFG vs a 50.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF Knights | 8–0 | H1 8:43 | 76% → 94% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 9–0 | H2 7:02 | 100% → 99% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 8–0 | H2 1:11 | 100% → 100% |