Iowa State Cyclones 55, TCU Horned Frogs 62
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-10 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated Iowa State Cyclones 62–55 on 2026-02-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 0:11 swung win probability 4% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iowa State Cyclones lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | 30 | 25 | 55 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 29 | 33 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 0:11 swung win probability 4% → 100%.
Why Iowa State Cyclones lost
- Lost H2 25-33 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 0:11 (win probability 4% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 45.7% eFG vs a 56.2% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 15-2 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 10–0 | H1 1:45 | 21% → 64% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 10–0 | H2 8:56 | 43% → 96% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 10–0 | H2 4:59 | 96% → 34% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 12–0 | H2 0:11 | 4% → 100% |