Iowa State Cyclones 70, Cincinnati Bearcats 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Cincinnati Bearcats
Cincinnati Bearcats defeated Iowa State Cyclones 79–70 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 12:07 swung win probability 50% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iowa State Cyclones lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 35 | 44 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at H1 12:07 swung win probability 50% → 92%.
Why Iowa State Cyclones lost
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H1 12:07 (win probability 50% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 52.0% eFG vs a 56.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 12-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 14–0 | H1 12:07 | 50% → 92% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 9–0 | H2 19:28 | 94% → 68% |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 11–0 | H2 13:05 | 74% → 99% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 8–0 | H2 4:38 | 100% → 94% |