Arizona Wildcats 84, UCF Knights 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Arizona Wildcats
Arizona Wildcats defeated UCF Knights 84–77 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 10:13 swung win probability 45% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UCF Knights lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats | 41 | 43 | 84 |
| UCF Knights | 38 | 39 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 10:13 swung win probability 45% → 2%.
Why UCF Knights lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 9:53 (win probability 46% → 10% for the home side).
- Shot 45.7% eFG vs a 52.6% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 23-13 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats | 8–0 | H1 13:50 | 69% → 38% |
| Arizona Wildcats | 11–0 | H1 9:53 | 46% → 10% |
| Arizona Wildcats | 10–0 | H2 10:13 | 45% → 2% |