TCU Horned Frogs 70, BYU Cougars 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: BYU Cougars
BYU Cougars defeated TCU Horned Frogs 76–70 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 12:39 swung win probability 40% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why TCU Horned Frogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 36 | 34 | 70 |
| BYU Cougars | 30 | 46 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 12:39 swung win probability 40% → 88%.
Why TCU Horned Frogs lost
- Lost H2 34-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 12:39 (win probability 40% → 88% for the home side).
- Outscored 23-12 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-9.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU Cougars | 8–0 | H1 8:33 | 45% → 76% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 8–0 | H1 6:02 | 76% → 42% |
| BYU Cougars | 8–0 | H2 16:06 | 20% → 58% |
| BYU Cougars | 9–0 | H2 12:39 | 40% → 88% |