Kansas State Wildcats 84, Arizona State Sun Devils 87
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Arizona State Sun Devils
Arizona State Sun Devils defeated Kansas State Wildcats 87–84 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 7:13 swung win probability 18% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Kansas State Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats | 38 | 46 | 84 |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 36 | 51 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 7:13 swung win probability 18% → 84%.
Why Kansas State Wildcats lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 7:13 (win probability 18% → 84% for the home side).
- Shot 49.3% eFG vs a 53.3% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 24-15 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 8–0 | H1 9:18 | 57% → 84% |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 10–0 | H2 7:13 | 18% → 84% |