Iowa State Cyclones 70, Baylor Bears 60
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Iowa State Cyclones
Iowa State Cyclones defeated Baylor Bears 70–60 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 17:59 swung win probability 68% → 19%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Baylor Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | 25 | 45 | 70 |
| Baylor Bears | 24 | 36 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 17:59 swung win probability 68% → 19%.
Why Baylor Bears lost
- Lost H2 36-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 17:59 (win probability 68% → 19% for the home side).
- Shot 34.7% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 8–0 | H1 6:26 | 61% → 88% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 10–0 | H2 17:59 | 68% → 19% |