Baylor Bears 63, TCU Horned Frogs 69
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated Baylor Bears 69–63 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 2:17 swung win probability 56% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Baylor Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 23 | 40 | 63 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 29 | 40 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 2:17 swung win probability 56% → 86%.
Why Baylor Bears lost
- Lost H1 23-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 2:17 (win probability 56% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 41.5% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 8–0 | H1 2:17 | 56% → 86% |
| Baylor Bears | 8–0 | H2 2:22 | 100% → 94% |