Colorado Buffaloes 95, Arizona State Sun Devils 89
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes defeated Arizona State Sun Devils 95–89 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 4:05 swung win probability 3% → 65%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arizona State Sun Devils lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Buffaloes | 48 | 47 | 95 |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 38 | 51 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 4:05 swung win probability 3% → 65%.
Why Arizona State Sun Devils lost
- Lost H1 38-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Outscored 32-21 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 8–0 | H2 14:17 | 9% → 39% |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 10–0 | H2 4:05 | 3% → 65% |