Alabama State Hornets 56, Mississippi State Bulldogs 94
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-29 · Winner: Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs defeated Alabama State Hornets 94–56 on 2025-12-29 in NCAA Men's play, a 38-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 15:48 swung win probability 62% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Alabama State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama State Hornets | 31 | 25 | 56 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 49 | 45 | 94 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 15:48 swung win probability 62% → 88%.
Why Alabama State Hornets lost
- Lost H2 25-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 15:48 (win probability 62% → 88% for the home side).
- Shot 33.0% eFG vs a 47.8% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9–0 | H1 15:48 | 62% → 88% |